On April 27, 2026, B3 — Brazil's stock exchange — will launch six new financial products called event contracts. Among the underlying assets are the price of Bitcoin and currency pair movements. The initiative is regulated by the CVM (Comissão de Valores Mobiliários, Brazil's securities regulator) and initially restricted to investors with a minimum of R$ 10 million in financial assets.
This move puts B3 on the global map of a rapidly growing market: structured predictions as financial instruments, a segment dominated internationally by platforms like Kalshi (U.S.) and Polymarket (decentralized).
What Are Event Contracts
An event contract is a financial instrument that pays a fixed amount if a specific condition is met at settlement date — and zero if it is not. The structure is binary: either the event occurs or it does not.
Examples of the type of question these contracts answer:
- "Will Bitcoin's price be above $100,000 on date X?"
- "Will the dollar be above R$ 6.00 on date Y?"
If the answer is yes, the contract buyer receives the agreed amount. If not, they lose the premium paid. It is a structured risk transfer mechanism, used by asset managers and corporate treasuries for hedging specific exposures or expressing directional market views with limited downside.
The six contracts that B3 will launch on April 27 include events linked to Bitcoin and currency pairs — the remaining contracts have not been disclosed in detail as of this writing.
Why This Matters
B3 is not new to crypto. The exchange launched Brazil's first crypto ETFs in 2021, and since then the ecosystem has grown significantly:
- 600,000 investors in crypto ETFs listed on B3
- $2.4 billion in AUM (assets under management) across those ETFs
- Already-announced plans for a tokenization platform and a BRL stablecoin in 2026
Event contracts are the next step: not direct exposure to Bitcoin itself, but instruments that use Bitcoin's price as a reference for a regulated product, with a central counterparty and settlement in Brazilian reais.
The CVM regulated these instruments in 2025, creating the legal framework that allows B3 to operate this market with legal certainty. The model is similar to the one adopted by the U.S. Designated Contract Market (DCM) framework for Kalshi, which went through a lengthy regulatory battle before being authorized by the CFTC in 2024.
Comparison with Kalshi and Polymarket
| Feature | B3 Event Contracts | Kalshi (U.S.) | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulation | CVM (Brazil) | CFTC (U.S.) | Decentralized / no central regulation |
| Counterparty | B3 (central clearing) | Central clearing | Smart contracts (blockchain) |
| Access | Qualified investors (R$ 10M+) | Open (with limits) | Open globally |
| Settlement | Brazilian reais | USD | USDC stablecoin |
| Available assets | 6 contracts (Bitcoin, FX, others) | 100+ markets | 500+ markets |
B3's model is more restrictive in terms of access but offers what Polymarket cannot: formal regulation, legal protection, and central clearing infrastructure. For institutional managers, this is a meaningful differentiator.
Who Can Use These and For What Purpose
The requirement of R$ 10 million in financial assets places these contracts out of reach for most retail investors. In practice, the expected users are:
- Fund managers with crypto exposure who need a regulated hedging vehicle
- Corporate treasuries with dollar revenues wanting to protect their FX position
- Family offices and qualified investors seeking instruments to express directional views with limited risk and a central counterparty
For these profiles, the development is significant: it is the first time a CVM-regulated instrument, settled on B3, uses Bitcoin's price as a reference.
What's Coming at B3
The event contracts are part of a broader modernization agenda at B3. For 2026, the exchange has already announced:
- Asset tokenization platform: which will allow issuing tokens representing stocks, debentures, and real estate funds on the blockchain
- BRL stablecoin: a real-backed stablecoin to facilitate settlements within the ecosystem
- Integration with Drex: the central bank's digital real, which when formally launched is expected to connect to B3's tokenization ecosystem
This set of initiatives positions B3 as an exchange moving beyond the traditional stock-trading model, seeking to capture a share of the growth in regulated digital asset markets.
Risks to Consider
Event contracts are high-risk instruments. Unlike a Bitcoin ETF, where the maximum loss is the amount invested with potential for partial recovery, an event contract can result in 100% loss of the premium paid if the event does not occur.
Additionally, the global market for financial event contracts has a track record of:
- Market manipulation on platforms with low liquidity
- Pricing difficulty for events with structurally high uncertainty
- Anchoring bias among investors who underestimate the probability of extreme outcomes
B3's requirement of R$ 10 million minimum is not arbitrary — it is an explicit acknowledgment that these products require sophistication and the capacity to absorb losses.
For investors who do not meet the qualified investor threshold, B3's existing crypto ETFs remain the accessible, regulated entry point into digital asset exposure in Brazil.
Royal Binary is a collective investment platform. This content is informational and does not constitute investment advice. Evaluate your risk profile and consult a certified advisor.